Tuesday, August 13, 2019

Can't make heads or tails of the OC Real Estate Market?

Have you heard there is a slowdown in the real estate market?  We bet you have! Have you also heard how busy the market is? We bet you have as well. Can you make heads or tails of what is really going on with the OC real estate market? 

Frankly, it is pretty simple; Buyer demand may not be as hot as prior years, but the Housing market is not collapsing either. There are no surprises on the housing front anytime soon. Reports from the housing trenches are that many buyers expect the market to drop like a rock and that is when they will finally be able to purchase. That simply is not on the horizon. Sitting back and waiting on the sidelines will prove to be a waste of time and depending on the price point you are looking at could prove to cost you money!

Below is a summary of the overall OC Real Estate Market:

The active listing inventory decreased by 113 homes in the past two-weeks, down 1%, and now totals 7,488. The inventory most likely reached a peak for the year of 7,601 two weeks ago. Last year, there were 6,893 homes on the market, 595 fewer than today. There are 9% more homes than last year.
Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, increased by 101 pending sales in the past two-weeks, up 4%, and now totals 2,606. Last year, there were 2,394 pending sales, 9% fewer than today.
The Expected Market Time for all of Orange County decreased from 91 days two weeks ago to 86 days today, a slight Seller’s Market (between 60 to 90 days). It was at 86 days last year.
For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days) with an expected market time of 58 days. This range represents 38% of the active inventory and 56% of demand.

Search OC Homes under $750,000

For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the expected market time is 70 days, a slight Seller’s Market. This range represents 19% of the active inventory and 24% of demand.
For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the expected market time is 109 days, a Balanced Market.
For luxury homes priced between $1.25 million and $1.5 million, in the past two weeks, the Expected Market Time decreased from 147 to 130 days. For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2 million, the Expected Market Time increased from 240 to 244 days. For luxury homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 288 to 280 days. For luxury homes priced above $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 500 to 404 days. 
The luxury end, all homes above $1.25 million, accounts for 34% of the inventory and only 13% of demand.
Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.8% of all listings and 1.4% of demand. There are only 20 foreclosures and 37 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 57 total distressed homes on the active market, up one in the past two-weeks. Last year there were 88 total distressed homes on the market, slightly more than today.
There were 2,871 closed residential resales in July, 5% more than July 2018’s 2,734 closed sales. July marked a 6% increase compared to June 2019. The sales to list price ratio was 98.3% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for just 0.5% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.24%. That means that 99.3% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.

For a full copy of this report, click here!

If you are wondering if now is the time to buy, move up and/or sale, it really depends on what is happening in your life.  The message really should be that the OC real estate market is very stable, right now.  There has been an increase in homes and along with reduction in interest rates, this truly may be the best market to make a move we have had in years!  Don't hesitate to give me a call to review your goals and I am happy to review with you a hyper-local strategy that will ensure your goals are met.

1 comment:

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